This week begins with the warmest temperatures of the year in the Northeast (low-md 80s), before a brief surge of the coolest temperatures of the week sweep across the region Tuesday (60s). Meanwhile cold winter-like storms reloading over the West into next week are part of a stalled pattern already focusing strong heat (low-mid 90s) across the Southeastern quadrant of the U.S. All models peak Southeastern heat near record levels (11°-15° above average) late this week (Thursday-Friday) through the 1st half of the of the 6-10 day period. Forecasts farther north are struggling with how much of this extreme Southeastern heat can periodically spread back into the Great Lakes and Northeast, with latest modeling trending warmer during the next 10-days. In the longer range all models totally breakdown anomalous amplified flow early in the 11-15 day period marking effective end to the current sharp west-east temperature contrast across the U.S. While seasonably cold air appears slowest to erode in the northern Plains during the 11-15 day period, sustained Western warming and moderating Southeastern heat are part of mild seasonably warm summer-like flow on track to predominate the majority of the U.S. through early summer.
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