The hot start to June in the Northeast and mid Atlantic region effectively ended late last week with arrival of notably cooler high temperatures (mainly 70s-low 80s) near certain to persist for the next week to 10-days. However, extreme heat underway across the vast majority of the West (10°-20° above average) has yet to peak, and is certain to persist into next weekend (Jun 19-20). The lone exception to this Western heatwave is the coastal Pacific Northwest (seasonal temperatures), but all models agree the rest of the West will experience the longest consecutive day stretch of double-digit above average temperatures of the year. Latest model consensus has increased coverage of forecast highs in the mid 100s between inland California (including Burbank) and the west slope of the Rockies (Grand Junction, Colorado), almost ensuring new all-time high temperature records (more than 20° above average) will be set for multiple days. Models are also more aggressive to spread above average heat into the Plains including eastern Texas (mid 90s) through the coming week. Development of the 1st tropical cyclone of the year in the western Gulf of Mexico remains possible late this week, but recent model trends shift the focus of rainfall farther east into Louisiana early next week (Jun 21-22). As the current amplified pattern focusing greatest heat into the West and Plains begins to subside near the end of the 6-10 day period, noticeably warmer air will begin to spread into the Midwest and East in a progressively stronger and longer form, ultimately establishing near coast to coast above average temperatures by the end of June to predominate the initial week to 10-days of July.
For more than a decade, the most accurate weather forecasts over any time scale have come from only one source Melita Weather Associates
We owe our success to three factors:
Melita’s forecasts are written for professional traders and business people in Weather Impacted Business.
Melita’s information packed forecasts assume a knowledge of weather patterns and their implications.30 and 90 day forecasts are written to deliver vital information while saving time for busy professionals.At the same time MWA forecasts have considerable detail and are backed up by our personal consultation services.