Dave Melita

Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.

As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.

Contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.

September 26 - Long Range Summary

Canadian air draining into the Eastern half of the U.S. is certain to finally replace excessive heat in Texas (mid 90s-low 100s) observed through most of September with near seasonal temperatures (mid-upper 80s) and noticeably lower humidity to predominate this final week of the month. Coldest temperatures farther north are forecast to peak this workweek near 10° below average across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, and Northeast.  Meanwhile summerlike heat contracting into the West during the 1st half of this week generating near record temperatures in Southern California (100° in Burbank), is faster to spread east of the Rockies in a modified (weakening) form starting in the Plains (mainly 80s-low 90s) by early this weekend according to recent model consensus. Timing of arrival of seasonably warm air into the Midwest and East is less clear as forecast tracks of Hurricane Ian through the eastern Gulf of Mexico into Florida and the Southeast Wednesday-Thursday are more uncertain than typical, with exceedingly slowing speed of the cyclone in weakening steering flow ensuring heavy tropical rainfall will persist over some portion of the Eastern Seaboard well into next week. However, all extended range models are trending progressively warmer across the eastern 3rd of the U.S. by the 11-15 day period adding high forecast confidence to an unseasonably  warm October overall  across nearly all of the U.S. likely to persist into early November.

If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
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    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398