Dave Melita

Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.

As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.

Contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.

November 29 - Long Range Summary

Above average warmth which predominated the majority of the West and northern Plains throughout November is quickly expanding eastward, with the Northeast last to shift warm. A cold start to the coming week across the Northeast featuring temperatures 5° below average is certain to briefly reverse 5° above average midweek, before cold air returns at the end of the week. All models prolong this modest volatility across the Northeast characterized by near seasonal mean temperatures when averaged over several day time scales through the end of the 1st full week of December. Extended range models eventually flood the Northeast with milder air during the 11-15 day period, but this accompanies large scale pattern change directing notably colder air through west central Canada into the Rockies and Plains. Central U.S. cooling forecast to start late in the 6-10 day period may not mark onset of sustained below average temperatures. However, that is not the case across Canada where progressive cooling sets the stage for significantly colder mid December conditions across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest, which are likely to expand into the East by the final week of the month to persist through early January.

 


If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
  • Contact Us

    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    david@melitaweather.com
    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398