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May 14 - Long Range Summary
Near record heat began early May in the Southwest before progressively spreading eastward last week through the Plains and Midwest into the mid Atlantic region and Southeast, where it will linger into the start of this 2nd full week of May. Moderate cooling in the Southeast starting Tuesday (still several degrees above average) accompanies clouds and rain advancing northward from Florida. What is more important is precipitation will become the only source of cooling going forward through the remainder of May as actual cold air retreats farther north into northeastern Canada. Fast weakening observed to a large Pacific storm once it entered the West late last week is a harbinger of a repetitive mild late spring pattern overall featuring mostly scattered convective type rainfall across the majority of the Plains, Midwest, and East favoring continued predominance of above average warmth. Warmer and drier May conditions which are the exact opposite to the end to spring observed last year signal a much hotter start to summer 2018.
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