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    August 8 - Long Range Summary

    Widespread intense heat (mid 90s-100s) lingers between Texas and the East Coast early this week ahead of noticeably milder Canadian air certain to overwhelm the entire eastern half of the U.S. by midweek (Aug 10-11). This will be welcome relief from the record setting early August heatwave still underway in the Northeast through Tuesday, and several weeks of extreme heat in most of Texas. Intensity of late week cooling is less certain amongst volatile model runs but most regions are forecast near seasonal with exception of slightly below average temperatures in saturated areas of the Midwest and central Appalachians. All models are faster to warm the entire central U.S. back to near sustained above average temperatures by next weekend (Aug 13-14), resuming intense low-mid 100s across most of the central and southern Plains.  Above average temperatures are forecast to expand back to the East Coast during the 11-15 day period at lower intensity than currently underway, but at greater persistence across the Northeast which the 30-day MWA ensemble maintains through the 1st week of September.  In the West the latest surge of extreme heat into the Pacific Northwest (100s) ends early this week with arrival of seasonal level cooling, while cooler and wetter conditions resume farther south as Southwestern monsoon rain increases in coverage and intensity. Similar to most of summer Southern California to the northern and central Great Basin are forecast to remain hottest and driest.


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