MWA 30 day Forecast:
The Livewire Newsletter is prepared by Dave Melita 3 times per week on Sunday, Tuesday and Thursday. This unique newsletter presents a summary of Dave’s analysis of primary weather events expected to be of significance to the energy industry during the next 30 days, with an emphasis on forecasting substantial pattern changes that move markets. The newsletter has a several year proven track record for accuracy, and is routinely utilized by both energy traders and in-house Meteorologists due to its combination of concise straightforward weather summary, and more detailed atmospheric pattern and computer model analysis.
Each newsletter begins with a 1-2 page summary section which includes graphical temperature anomaly forecasts for the 1-5 day, 6-10 day, 11-15 day and 16-30 day forecast periods. This is followed by several additional pages comprising more in-depth atmospheric analysis that describes the fundamental basis of the forecast. Weather maps and computer model output included in this section identify reasons why a particular forecast might diverge from other government or private forecast entities, and helps to further identify trading opportunities.
Livewire Newsletter subscribers also have limited access of 3 times per week to Dave for further forecast consultation. In the near future, the format of this consultation is expected to be upgraded to a web-based forecast discussion.
MWA – 90 day Forecast:
This long range weather forecast newsletter is released once per month and includes detailed assessment of the main atmospheric indices of interest to seasonal weather conditions. Detailed assessment of major atmospheric features expected to drive weather conditions is provided in an understandable format that provides the reader with the necessary tools to continually monitor the degree to which the long range forecast is verifying. By describing the expected evolution of major atmospheric features expected to drive an upcoming season’s weather, the reader is equipped with the ability to most effectively utilize the forecast for trading decisions.
For more information contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.
September 18 - Long Range Summary
One final surge of cold Canadian air of the extended September series draining into the Midwest (7°-10° below average) this past weekend ensures a cool and wet 1st half of the week across the Northeast. However, at the same time colder and wetter pattern change starting in the West is certain to shift summer-like heat out of the Pacific Northwest (mid 80s-mid 90s) eastward in a modifying (weakening) form; warming Midwestern temperatures near 80° by midweek, and the Northeast to the mid 70s by the end of the workweek. Similar level modest warmth (3°-6° above average) is forecast to return to the central and southern Plains early this week (low-mid 90s in most of Texas). Meanwhile slightly below average temperatures in most of the Southeast to mid Atlantic region this week appear slowest to recover near seasonal levels (low-mid 80s)late in the 6-10 day period. Precipitation is far less certain amongst models and from run to run of the same model but longer range forecasts maintain relatively mild temperatures east of the Rockies into mid October, and even the cooler West recovers to seasonal temperatures starting late next weekend (Sep 24). At this point there is no substantially cold air in sight building across North America suggesting temperatures across most of the U.S. will remain slightly – moderately above average through most if not all of the latter half of fall.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.