MWA 30 day Forecast:

 

The Livewire Newsletter is prepared by Dave Melita 3 times per week on Sunday, Tuesday and Thursday. This unique newsletter presents a summary of Dave’s analysis of primary weather events expected to be of significance to the energy industry during the next 30 days, with an emphasis on forecasting substantial pattern changes that move markets. The newsletter has a several year proven track record for accuracy, and is routinely utilized by both energy traders and in-house Meteorologists due to its combination of concise straightforward weather summary, and more detailed atmospheric pattern and computer model analysis.

Each newsletter begins with a 1-2 page summary section which includes graphical temperature anomaly forecasts for the 1-5 day, 6-10 day, 11-15 day and 16-30 day forecast periods. This is followed by several additional pages comprising more in-depth atmospheric analysis that describes the fundamental basis of the forecast. Weather maps and computer model output included in this section identify reasons why a particular forecast might diverge from other government or private forecast entities, and helps to further identify trading opportunities.

Livewire Newsletter subscribers also have limited access of 3 times per week to Dave for further forecast consultation. In the near future, the format of this consultation is expected to be upgraded to a web-based forecast discussion.

 

MWA – 90 day Forecast:

 

This long range weather forecast newsletter is released once per month and includes detailed assessment of the main atmospheric indices of interest to seasonal weather conditions. Detailed assessment of major atmospheric features expected to drive weather conditions is provided in an understandable format that provides the reader with the necessary tools to continually monitor the degree to which the long range forecast is verifying. By describing the expected evolution of major atmospheric features expected to drive an upcoming season’s weather, the reader is equipped with the ability to most effectively utilize the forecast for trading decisions.

For more information contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.

June 10 - Long Range Summary

Canadian air draining east of the Rockies ensured a noticeably cool start to this week by early summer standards all the way from the southern Plains through the entire Midwest to the northern mid Atlantic region and Northeast.  Now that Eastern pattern change completed model forecasts agree Monday will represent the coldest day of the next 2-weeks. Late week warming east of the Rockies will be gradual and limited in duration before near record heat reloading across most of the West by midweek (with exception of the cooler Pacific Northwest) spreads east of the Rockies during the 6-10 day period to peak in the low-mid 90s across the Great Lakes and Northeast for multiple days next week. Longer range forecasts indicate the core of greatest heat will shift westward between the Upper Midwest and northern Plains during the 11-15 day period. However, significantly drier conditions accompanying next week’s substantial surge of heat east of the Rockies is part of far more stable summerlike flow anticipated to preclude return of unseasonably cold air through the rest of June. Models focus lingering less widespread rain into the Upper Midwest and along the Gulf Coast which may periodically cool these regions near seasonal temperatures but longer range forecast confidence is increased drier conditions overall compared to spring and the start to June, coupled with persistent summerlike low amplitude flow aloft, set the stage for progressive warming of near sustained above average temperatures through July.


If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
  • Contact Us

    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    david@melitaweather.com
    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398