Melita Weather Associates
For more than a decade, the most accurate weather forecasts over any time scale have come from only one source, and that is the experienced Meteorologists that comprise Melita Weather Associates (MWA).
Below is just one of the large suite of computer generated meteorological forecasts generated by our proprietary 30 day ensemble model.
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Long Range Forecast Summary
September 12 Update: Winter-like cold air emanating from northern Canada is on the move through the northern Rockies and northern Plains, while weakening substantially as it spreads into the summer-like warm and humid air-mass lingering in the South and East. longer range models are latching onto another strong and extended cooling event across the eastern half of the country in late September to delay return of sustained above average warmth until closer to mid October.
For information on subscribing to or receiving a free 2 week trial of MWA 30 day and 90 day forecast newsletters, or our large suite of computer model upper air and surface forecast data out to 30 days please contact:
MWA does not simply repackage or reformat the same freely available weather forecast computer model output, or attempt to deliver that same consistently erroneous Government data to you a minute or 2 faster each day. There are plenty of so called “weather providers” out there to choose from made up primarily of computer programmers as opposed to experienced Meteorologists. More than one of or our world-renown Atmospheric Scientists have been conducting specialized research for more than 50 years.
The 3 lead Meteorologists comprising MWA are Dave Melita, Pete Stamus and Dr. John Snook. Together they bring a unique alliance of meteorological expertise to the table at an opportune time to enhance long range weather forecasts using a proprietary model based on the most sophisticated atmospheric computer model in the world developed over a span of decades at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder Colorado. The NCAR model is actually a group of 4 distinct stand alone models known as the Community Climate System 3.
The links that follow will describe aspects of the proprietary and innovative computer model that we have developed. We strongly believe its introduction into the operational forecast environment will forever change the process in which operational weather forecasts are prepared, and the manner in which energy and agricultural trading concerns utilize forecasts in their daily business.
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April 22 - Long Range Summary
Unseasonably cold air in place across the majority of the Eastern half of the U.S. this past weekend will briefly moderate closer to seasonal temperatures after a very cold start to the day Monday featuring overnight frost conditions deep into the mid South and Southeast. However, a final surge of cold Canadian air forecast to focus more directly into the Midwest and East midweek has models shifting markedly colder (15°-20° below average) for a 1-2 day period Wednesday-Thursday along with some mountain snow in the Northeast. Late week pattern change is certain to effectively end cold air transport into the U.S. while directing less intensely cool Pacific storms back through the West. This will end the extended period of well above average warmth underway west of the Rockies into midweek, but periodic rain-cooled temperatures (mainly 7°-10° below average daytime highs) starting during the latter half of this week (Apr 25-27) will be far from extreme. As the West cools the warmest air yet this year will flood most of the Midwest and East generating near 15° above average temperatures more typical of late May or early June for several consecutive days during the 6-10 day period. Models are highly uncertain with timing, track, and strength of the series of Pacific storms once they eject east of the Rockies. However, rain-cooled Eastern conditions are near certain to remain weak with the 11-15 day period marking the 1st opportunity for multiple days of temperatures closer to seasonal levels, in an otherwise mild late spring pattern likely to be warmest (relative to average) across the northeast quadrant of the U.S. during most of May.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.