Melita Weather Associates
For more than a decade, the most accurate weather forecasts over any time scale have come from only one source, and that is the experienced Meteorologists that comprise Melita Weather Associates (MWA).
Below is just one of the large suite of computer generated meteorological forecasts generated by our proprietary 30 day ensemble model.
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Long Range Forecast Summary
September 12 Update: Winter-like cold air emanating from northern Canada is on the move through the northern Rockies and northern Plains, while weakening substantially as it spreads into the summer-like warm and humid air-mass lingering in the South and East. longer range models are latching onto another strong and extended cooling event across the eastern half of the country in late September to delay return of sustained above average warmth until closer to mid October.
For information on subscribing to or receiving a free 2 week trial of MWA 30 day and 90 day forecast newsletters, or our large suite of computer model upper air and surface forecast data out to 30 days please contact:
MWA does not simply repackage or reformat the same freely available weather forecast computer model output, or attempt to deliver that same consistently erroneous Government data to you a minute or 2 faster each day. There are plenty of so called “weather providers” out there to choose from made up primarily of computer programmers as opposed to experienced Meteorologists. More than one of or our world-renown Atmospheric Scientists have been conducting specialized research for more than 50 years.
The 3 lead Meteorologists comprising MWA are Dave Melita, Pete Stamus and Dr. John Snook. Together they bring a unique alliance of meteorological expertise to the table at an opportune time to enhance long range weather forecasts using a proprietary model based on the most sophisticated atmospheric computer model in the world developed over a span of decades at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder Colorado. The NCAR model is actually a group of 4 distinct stand alone models known as the Community Climate System 3.
The links that follow will describe aspects of the proprietary and innovative computer model that we have developed. We strongly believe its introduction into the operational forecast environment will forever change the process in which operational weather forecasts are prepared, and the manner in which energy and agricultural trading concerns utilize forecasts in their daily business.
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April 21 - Long Range Summary
Canadian air surged into the Upper Midwest and Northeast during the past weekend cooling daytime high temperatures sharply (30° in 24-hours in Chicago). Unlike earlier in April this cold air outbreak is only slightly below average due to strong warming immediately ahead of the surface cold front which produced the warmest temperatures of the year across the Northeast yesterday (mainly 70s-80s), and little to no cooling penetrated farther south into a more resilient warm airmass entrenched in the Southeast. Warm air residing in the South ensures below average temperatures across the Great Lakes and Northeast will remain brief and quickly warm again by Tuesday, in a milder spring-like pattern maintaining late April temperatures mainly between seasonal and slightly above average levels. The West is also warming quickly in the wake of last weekend’s winter storm which produced widespread 15°-20° below average temperatures and substantial snow deep in the southern Rockies. Additional Pacific storms lined up to move into the West are significantly milder focusing seasonal to slightly below average temperatures mainly along the West Coast through late April. Spring-like volatility clouds the picture in longer range forecasts, but most extended range models are latching onto the next fundamental pattern transition early in the 1st week of May shifting periodic weak cooling (seasonal- slightly below average) to the Great Lakes and Northeast, which latest 30-day MWA ensemble forecasts maintain into late May. The Plains and Midwest remain the focus of heaviest spring rainfall which will be important to monitor going into summer, but reversal of expansive drought in the West and Plains is unlikely favoring these west central regions for early onset of summer-level heat before May is out.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.