Melita Weather Associates
For more than a decade, the most accurate weather forecasts over any time scale have come from only one source, and that is the experienced Meteorologists that comprise Melita Weather Associates (MWA).
Below is just one of the large suite of computer generated meteorological forecasts generated by our proprietary 30 day ensemble model.
[mtnweather_multiple aSeries=ens aType=500Hm aWidth=730 aHeight=600 aShowHead=0 ashowlistlink=0]
Long Range Forecast Summary
September 12 Update: Winter-like cold air emanating from northern Canada is on the move through the northern Rockies and northern Plains, while weakening substantially as it spreads into the summer-like warm and humid air-mass lingering in the South and East. longer range models are latching onto another strong and extended cooling event across the eastern half of the country in late September to delay return of sustained above average warmth until closer to mid October.
For information on subscribing to or receiving a free 2 week trial of MWA 30 day and 90 day forecast newsletters, or our large suite of computer model upper air and surface forecast data out to 30 days please contact:
MWA does not simply repackage or reformat the same freely available weather forecast computer model output, or attempt to deliver that same consistently erroneous Government data to you a minute or 2 faster each day. There are plenty of so called “weather providers” out there to choose from made up primarily of computer programmers as opposed to experienced Meteorologists. More than one of or our world-renown Atmospheric Scientists have been conducting specialized research for more than 50 years.
The 3 lead Meteorologists comprising MWA are Dave Melita, Pete Stamus and Dr. John Snook. Together they bring a unique alliance of meteorological expertise to the table at an opportune time to enhance long range weather forecasts using a proprietary model based on the most sophisticated atmospheric computer model in the world developed over a span of decades at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder Colorado. The NCAR model is actually a group of 4 distinct stand alone models known as the Community Climate System 3.
The links that follow will describe aspects of the proprietary and innovative computer model that we have developed. We strongly believe its introduction into the operational forecast environment will forever change the process in which operational weather forecasts are prepared, and the manner in which energy and agricultural trading concerns utilize forecasts in their daily business.
Contact us at:
April 29 - Long Range Summary
Warm air advancing east of the Appalachians late this past weekend is the start of progressive temperature rise near certain to briefly peak at the hottest levels yet this year by the end of this workweek including summer-level low 80s as far north as central New York State and New England (~15° above average). Portions of the interior mid Atlantic region to northern Pennsylvania and New Jersey may briefly reach 90° Monday, while the majority of the Midwest and South remain less intensely hot under clouds and intermittent rain extending ahead of a series of relatively cold Pacific disturbances translating through the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies at approximate 24-36 hour intervals (still generating snow in high elevations of the West). Sharp west-east temperature contrast will fuel several more days of rain with severe thunderstorms across portions of the Plains and Midwest, but all models agree the repetitive amplified large scale pattern will begin to subside late this workweek. Early stages of pattern de-amplification are certain to direct seasonably cool air into the Plains (3°-6° below average) Thursday-Friday, while greatest below average temperatures in the Northwest begin to moderate. Less intense cooling reaching the Midwest and East during 6-10 day and 11-15 day periods appear near seasonal temperatures at best, but will effectively ending sharp temperature contrast across the U.S. Extended range models will continue to struggle with difficult to resolve spring-like wet disturbances embedded within fast low amplitude flow. However, at this point it is unlikely isolated and variable areas of convective rain will significantly alter longterm drought conditions in place across the central U.S. which are increasingly important to temperatures as summer approaches. Expansive soil moisture deficits remain a seasonably warm-biased signal which combined with low amplitude flow favor greatest magnitude (moderate) above average temperature anomalies in the north central U.S. which the 30-day MWA ensemble maintains into the end of May.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.