MWA is the only private weather forecast company in the world which has developed an operational 30-day weather forecast computer model.

The proprietary MWA Ensemble competed in 2010 is a global spectral model based on decades of research performed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado.

Before MWA only the largest governmental weather forecast entities invested the resources necessary to develop and operate long-range dynamic numerical models. To this day the longest operational forecasts generated by these only extend out 15 days.

The 30 day forecast horizon of the MWA makes it ideal in identification of the timing and nature of important atmospheric pattern changes.

Computer generated forecasts are updated twice per day, 7 days per week, with all meteorological parameters displayed graphically; at the surface, and several upper level altitudes commonly utilized in weather forecasting.

Surface graphics include easy to understand 5 day composites of temperature anomaly and precipitation. Numerical surface parameters are also available in tabular form for over 200 North American cities.

Worldwide forecasts are generated for 6 additional continents. For clients interested in utilizing direct MWA ensemble numerical output to initialize in-house energy demand or pricing models comma delimited files are available.

February 19 - Long Range Summary

Record setting temperature contrast builds through midweek across the entire U.S. as late spring-level warmth in the Southeast (70s-low 80s) intensifies and expands northward to the eastern Great lakes and Northeast at 20°-30° above average strength, while frigid arctic air in the Northwest and northern Plains (subzero highs) spreads southward deep into the Southwest to Texas at 15° below average intensity or more. Each extreme temperature anomaly will moderate several degrees during the latter half of this week, but the general west-east contrast between cold and warm late winter conditions will predominate most of next week. However, plummeting Eastern U.S. temperatures during the 11-15 day period are now of highest forecast confidence as ALL models have latched onto marked pattern change effectively ending strong or prolonged above average warmth. Latest model forecasts which spread below average temperatures deep into the southern U.S. from Texas to Florida by the end of the 11-15 day period set the stage for a very cold and wintery March by spring standards across the Midwest and East.


If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
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    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    david@melitaweather.com
    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398