Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.
As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.
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December 11 - Long Range Summary
Cold temperatures extending deep into the Southeast early this week in the wake of the recent historic southern snow event are certain to be followed by an even colder arctic airmass focusing farther north across the northeastern quadrant of the country by Wednesday at near 15° below average intensity. Models begin to diverge late week with intensity of warmer air spreading out of the Western half of the country into the East through early next week, but even the warmest 6-10 day forecasts shift markedly colder by the 11-15 day period. The coldest forecasts of the European model and 30-day MWA ensemble re-establish a similar amplified pattern as currently in place setting the stage for a frigid Christmas week across the Midwest and East, and are accepted as indication of an even colder start to January than previously anticipated.
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