Dave Melita

Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.

As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.

Contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.

December 10 - Long Range Summary

Cold air lingers for most of this workweek across the mid Atlantic region and much of the Southeast in the wake of the recent historic snowstorm. Additional precipitation is on the way to these same regions by the end of the workweek into next weekend (Dec 15-16), but strong warming to above average temperatures already underway across the majority of the Plains and Midwest will gradually expand into the East ensuring most late week precipitation will remain rain. Above average temperatures and more rain than snow across the Eastern half of the U.S. are part of a prolonged mild pattern by early winter standards which all recent model forecasts extend into late December. However, as government models with 2-week forecast horizons extend into the final week of December all latest runs are latching onto early stages of the next fundamental pattern shift re-establishing arctic air nearby in southern Canada. Government models appear to fast to dislodge arctic air into the U.S. as the 30-day MWA ensemble continues to delay onset of sustained below average temperatures to the 1st week of January. More importantly the long range model continues to indicate this as a highly stable cold pattern in which arctic air focuses more directly southward through the Great Lakes and Northeast to predominate mid-late January.


If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
  • Contact Us

    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    david@melitaweather.com
    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398