Dave Melita

Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.

As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.

Contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.

March 18 - Long Range Summary

Seasonably cold temperatures east of the Rockies predominate the week ahead, along with fast moving light-moderate snowstorms whisking between the northern Plains and Northeast. Temperature volatility related to the northern tracking storm sequence focuses coldest air into the Northeast (5°-10° below average) in 2 distinct surges; early week (Monday-Tuesday), and late week (Friday-Saturday) with brief midweek warming in between. Meanwhile in the Southwest another large winter storm (much weaker than last week) is forecast by all models to develop over Arizona by midweek. Model forecasts diverge substantially in eastward track, strength, and speed of this Southwestern storm as well as the next Pacific storm lined up to slam onto the West Coast next weekend (Mar 23-24), greatly impacting 6-10 day temperature forecasts across both the West and East. However, all models indicate this storm as the start of a milder Spring pattern overall. Despite forecast uncertainty associated with generally slow eastward translation of each relatively mild spring storm across the U.S. this pattern change in itself virtually ensures progressively warming Eastern temperatures during the final week of March, and across the West by early April adding confidence to a mild April overall devoid of significant cold anywhere in the U.S.  


If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
  • Contact Us

    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    david@melitaweather.com
    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398