Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.
As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.
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March 19 - Long Range Summary
Recent January–level temperatures across the Northeast are several degrees colder than even short range models forecast and a sign of a cold full week ahead. Substantial cold air by spring standards will also return to the Southeast by midweek in the wake of the 1st of 3 distinct storms lined up to track off the East Coast through early next week (Mar 26). Meanwhile marked pattern change in the eastern Pacific is forecast to direct the highest moisture levels of the entire cold season onto the Southern California coast early this week producing heavy coastal rain and mountain snow. Extended range model forecasts have been struggling greatly with downstream implications of this wetter Western pattern during the 11-15 day period and beyond, and are considered too warm across the Eastern half of the country. However, latest model forecasts have begun to shift colder across the Eastern half of the country during the 11-15 day period, and will likely continue this colder trend in subsequent runs consistent with atmospheric teleconnections which suggest prolonged flow of cold air (and snow) across the northeastern quadrant of the country into early April.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.