Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.
As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.
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February 19 - Long Range Summary
Record setting temperature contrast builds through midweek across the entire U.S. as late spring-level warmth in the Southeast (70s-low 80s) intensifies and expands northward to the eastern Great lakes and Northeast at 20°-30° above average strength, while frigid arctic air in the Northwest and northern Plains (subzero highs) spreads southward deep into the Southwest to Texas at 15° below average intensity or more. Each extreme temperature anomaly will moderate several degrees during the latter half of this week, but the general west-east contrast between cold and warm late winter conditions will predominate most of next week. However, plummeting Eastern U.S. temperatures during the 11-15 day period are now of highest forecast confidence as ALL models have latched onto marked pattern change effectively ending strong or prolonged above average warmth. Latest model forecasts which spread below average temperatures deep into the southern U.S. from Texas to Florida by the end of the 11-15 day period set the stage for a very cold and wintery March by spring standards across the Midwest and East.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.