Dave Melita

Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.

As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.

Contact us at: david@melitaweather.com.

June 17 - Long Range Summary

Transitional week ahead as last week’s record setting June heat across large areas of the West gradually erodes, and gives way to seasonal to below average temperatures by the end of the week. Western cooling will be slowest from interior California into the central Great Basin where triple digit heat (near 10° above average) will linger into midweek. Meanwhile noticeable heat and humidity gradually build northward through Texas (mid-upper 90s) and the Southeast (upper 80s-low 90s) especially during the latter half of the week as wet conditions begin to subside. All models continue each temperature trend through the 6-10 day period; cooling all of the West and northern Plains to seasonal levels or several degrees below average, while east of the Rockies above average warmth spreads northward to the Great Lakes and Northeast. Mainly pattern longevity separates recent extended range forecasts; with the European model far more prolonged with above average Northeastern heat into early July, while GFS runs shift the core of heat into the central U.S. at the expense of renewed Eastern cooling. However, warm (and drier) ECMWF 11-15 day Eastern forecasts are far more aligned with atmospheric teleconnection forecasts, setting the stage for a markedly warmer mid-late summer overall.


If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.
  • Contact Us

    Melita Weather Associates, 138 Northeast
    Circle Durango CO 81301

    david@melitaweather.com
    direct 970.385.8695
    fax 970.385.8398