Dave Melita was among the first Meteorologists to offer detailed weather forecasts to energy trading groups in the early 1990’s. Up to that point many of the largest trading houses still relied primarily on NWS 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. Since then Dave has been producing long range weather forecasts that consistently outperform conventional government and private weather forecast services. His energy weather newsletters are written in a detailed yet understandable format that describe complex atmospheric processes in a clear straightforward manner. His long range forecast accuracy and ability to concisely identify key weather elements of importance to the energy industry have attracted many of the largest trading shops in the business as long term subscribers.
As a working Meteorologist since obtaining a Masters Degree in Meteorology in 1982 he has held public and private sector assignments in both atmospheric research and operational meteorology. Among his former coworkers are several of the most renown and accomplished atmospheric research scientists in the world with whom he maintains a professional working relationship. This collaboration has proved invaluable in enabling Dave to consistently identify and assess key atmospheric features responsible for driving weather conditions on a seasonal time scale. The result is a well known proven track record in which Dave has correctly forecast the degree and manner which important atmospheric signals, such as El Niño and La Niña, will impact an upcoming season months in advance.
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April 15 - Long Range Summary
Seasonably cool start to this week across the majority of the Midwest and East will be brief, as 70s-80s building back into the Plains at the same time are part of the next very warm airmass by mid spring standards to spread eastward back into the Midwest and East midweek. Seasonably cool air will briefly return to the Eastern half of the country late this week as the series of coast to coast translating deep Pacific troughs with cooler air in their wake continue. However, strong warm-ups observed ahead of each recent wet storm have already outweighed limited and brief cooling in their wake such that above average temperatures have predominated the 1st half of April across most of the U.S. More importantly nearly all 11-15 day model forecasts have aligned to significantly less temperature volatility nearly devoid of seasonably cool air in drier conditions, setting the stage for a much warmer end to April and start to May.
If your business or career depends on correctly predicting the weather, you can follow the pack or you can get ahead with MWA’s proprietary models and expert forecasts.